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Scare Them Out, Then Buy it Back

Well, the re-test of the recent lows is happening. Now the market will probably attempt to scare you a little. That's right, the S&P will try to shakeout as many investors as it can (below 1250), and the Dow will emerge as the strongest of the three major indexes.

Whenever you participate in "edge of the cliff" investing, the markets have a tendency to become increasing volatile towards the tail end of a cyclical bull.

The correction we are experiencing is minor (5-10%). These type's of corrections are usually followed by one more attempt of the recent high's. The reversal of the current correction will probably coincide with speculation that the fed will pause later this month. Once this rally occurs, papa bear will emerge lead a further decline in the dollar. This event could mark the end of the cyclical bull market.

As far as timeframes are concerned, the recent correction should end soon, the rally should start at the end of the month with possible new highs on the Dow by mid-summer. In the late summer or fall, we may see the beginning of a major correction.

Disclaimer—This is for informational purposes only and is in no way a solicitation or an offer to sell securities. I am a registered investment advisor, but only provide solicited advice to clients of our firm in states where we are registered or where an exemption or exclusion from such registration exists. nothing on this website should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are any indication of future performance. carefully assess your own risk tolerance and goals before investing.