Subscribe!
Who is John Mugarian? What is Dynamic Growth? Customer Service Contact Home
The Journal Reports Questions and Answers Newsletter Portfolio Links


« Dynamic Growth: November 26th, 2007 Briefing | Main | Nice Rally ! But not a Market Bottom »

It's a Good Day for a Market Recovery !

You'll have to excuse the contrarian in me, but I am beginning to see the pieces fall into place for a nice rally. We need a few things to happen in order for that to happen.

1) The markets normally do not reverse the morning after a weak close. After falling 237 points and closing at the lows for the day, any rally on the open today has to be looked at with a high degree of skepticism.

In order for a market to end its current correction cycle, we need to see a large sell-off intra-day and a large rally on high volume into the close.

2) Most market bottoms occur on days of panic selling, better known as capitulation. A capitulation is a major washout (down 300-500 points) that would set the stage for a major rally into December.

Today, a perfect scenario for a washout would occur if the Dow Jones Industrials sold off to around the 12,500 mark, reversed, and rallied sharply into the close. This would set the stage for a major year-end rally.

Today, the financial channels are touting the famous mantra of "10% and done." This simply means we have had a normal 10% correction, and as in past years we can expect a rally. They are right to an extent, but not before you have a capitulation day, followed by an intra-day reversal.

The big news of the day is Citigroup's (C) 4.9 percent asset sale to the Muslims of Abu Dhabi.

Sorry, to cut this short, but I have to go. If the day unfolds like I described above, there is a lot of money that can be made.

Look at buying a few shares of SSO when the Dow nears 12,500.

Have a great day!

Disclaimer—This is for informational purposes only and is in no way a solicitation or an offer to sell securities. I am a registered investment advisor, but only provide solicited advice to clients of our firm in states where we are registered or where an exemption or exclusion from such registration exists. nothing on this website should be interpreted to state or imply that past results are any indication of future performance. carefully assess your own risk tolerance and goals before investing.